Economic Review

1987

 

Nov/Dec, 1987

The Irrelevance of Tests for Bias in Series of Macroeconomic Forecasts

Roy H. Webb

Our Research Focus: Monetary History

The idea of rational expectations has revolutionized macroeconomics. Several authors believe that the idea can be easily tested by a simple econometric procedure. This paper, however, presents several reasons for questioning the relevance of such tests.

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