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Working Papers

September 2015, No. 15-10

Approximating Time Varying Structural Models With Time Invariant Structures

Fabio Canova, Filippo Ferroni and Christian Matthes

The paper studies how parameter variation affects the decision rules of a DSGE model and structural inference. We provide diagnostics to detect parameter variations and to ascertain whether they are exogenous or endogenous. Identifi…cation and inferential distortions when a constant parameter model is incorrectly assumed are examined. Likelihood and VAR-based estimates of the structural dynamics when parameter variations are neglected are compared. Time variations in the …financial frictions of Gertler and Karadi’'s (2010) model are studied.

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