Is the Fed Too Active?
"Incarceration, Earnings, and Race," Working Paper No. 21-11, July 2021
"Delving into Climate Change Economics," Economic Brief No. 21-02, January 2021
"Central Banks and Climate Risks," Econ Focus, Second/Third Quarter 2019
"The Impact of Higher Temperatures on Economic Growth," Economic Brief No. 18-08, August 2018
In the arena of climate change, our focus at the Richmond Fed has been on conducting and supporting research to better understand its potential implications for the macroeconomy, including across the array of key stakeholders (consumers, business, the energy sector). Our activity includes conducting research aimed at measuring how climate change and extreme weather affect U.S. growth and financial stability. And it includes engagement with experts from across sectors, including carbon-producing ones, on how to best navigate the road ahead. What this means for even our policy, though, is not yet clear. As Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated, "We're quite actively exploring exactly what climate implications are for our supervisory, regulatory and financial stability responsibilities."
In the arena of income inequality, it is important to start by recognizing the Fed's long-standing mandate under the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) of 1977. The CRA requires the Fed "to encourage financial institutions to help meet the credit needs of the communities in which they do business, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods."
So the goal of redressing at least some aspects of economic inequality has long been a Fed concern. Indeed, the Richmond Fed strives to understand the full range of economic outcomes of Fifth District residents, including inequities, and among them, those that occur along racial lines. To fail here would hinder our ability to fulfill our mandate under the CRA and to provide better information via the Beige Book and other means to guide monetary policy. As Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin has pointed out, "The regional Fed banks are charged with understanding the dynamics within our districts. In pursuit of that goal, we have been investing in research that addresses these issues and the racial inequities that result."
Lately, the connection between monetary policy and economic inclusion has drawn increased attention. Some observers have voiced concern that the goal of redressing income inequality could create an "easing" bias in monetary policy, while others have argued that monetary policy has enriched asset holders and left low-wealth households behind. There is no doubt that Fed leadership is concerned about how its policies matter for those at the lower end of economic well-being. This concern seems fully consistent with the Fed's long-standing dual mandate under the Federal Reserve Reform Act of 1977.
From a research perspective, though, there is a narrower reason for Fed researchers to better understand broad disparities in the economy, such as those that occur along racial lines: Like virtually any disparity between groups that themselves contain huge variety (especially race), sustained racial gaps are not plausibly consistent with an economy operating at its potential.
A bottom line for me is this: We should always strive to understand forces that plausibly matter for U.S. macroeconomic performance. This includes climate change and large-scale economic inequalities. But because it is important for the Fed to remain clearly rooted in its congressional mandates, our externally facing activity needs to stay focused on trade-offs and, aside from clear "win-win" cases, avoid advocating for policies that lie outside our remit. My aim for the Richmond Fed is to ensure that our research, and the best work we know of, informs the public and policymakers about the economic trade-offs at play.
Kartik Athreya is executive vice president and director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
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