Economic Brief

Analyzing the gap between the actual and natural Beveridge curves gives policymakers a better sense of how much stabilization policy can accomplish.

One model suggests that the optimal unemployment insurance program would be set up pretty close to what the U.S. currently has.

With the potential of artificial intelligence to raise trend productivity growth, it is illuminating to revisit Al Broaddus' contributions to late 1990s FOMC discussions.

Funding concentration seems to play a significant role in how effective CDFIs are in fulfilling widespread change in communities.

Reserve-demand estimation is central to monetary policy implementation but tricky in practice. This discusses a proposal that could improve it.

Bank failures are almost always preceded by weak fundamentals. Depositor panics are rarely the root cause.

Three separate models of trend inflation all signaled incipient inflation in 2020, but they currently all offer different assessments.

The digital nature of stablecoins could make them more attractive to foreigners than the underlying fiat currencies that back them.

An updated model suggests that inflation may stay at elevated levels in the near term.

Alternative data sources seem to replicate trends of official data sources, but accuracy can be challenging at higher frequencies.