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Economic Brief

Economic Brief masthead

Our latest research on these topics

Monetary Policy and Inflation
Education and Labor Markets
Economic Growth and Fiscal Policy
Regional and Urban Economics
Banking and Finance

Featured

Road sign of a triangle with an exclamation point and the word Schuldenbremse at the bottom.

Article

The Debt Brake: Unsafe at Any Speed?

Economic Brief

June 2025, No. 25-22

By Thomas A. Lubik

Once lauded as a model of fiscal discipline, Germany's debt brake now stands at the center of a growing debate over its broader economic consequences.

Folder with a rubber stamp of the word tariff.

Article

When Are Tariffs Optimal?

Economic Brief

May 2025, No. 25-21

By Thomas A. Lubik

Situations where tariffs provide overall benefits are theoretically possible but appear to be practically limited.

Monetary Policy and Inflation

Article

Dashboard oil pressure gauge has a scale showing spelling out "inflation" and a needle pointing at the danger red zone.

May 2025, No. 25-20

Felipe F. Schwartzman

The Rabbit-Duck Question: What Caused the Recent Inflation Surge?

Article

Close-up of a person using a stylus to interact with stock market charts on their laptop.

April 2025, No. 25-14

Alexander L. Wolman

How Seasonality in Inflation Variance Affects Estimates of Underlying Inflation

Article

Center for Advancing Women in Economics (AWE)

December 2024, No. 24-40

The Center for Advancing Women in Economics: A Conference Recap

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Education and Labor Markets

Article

A business owner putting up a help wanted sign on their storefront window.

March 2025, No. 25-10

Katarína Borovičková

Hiring Puzzle: Why Do Firms Decrease Hiring So Much in Recessions?

Article

Woman hanging up a chalkboard that advertises a grand opening for her cafe.

January 2025, No. 25-01

Will the Pandemic Surge in Employer Business Formation Last?

Article

Center for Advancing Women in Economics (AWE)

December 2024, No. 24-40

The Center for Advancing Women in Economics: A Conference Recap

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Economic Growth and Fiscal Policy

Article

Small glass globe sitting in front of laptop with market charts on screen.

June 2025, No. 25-23

Marina Azzimonti and Acacia Wyckoff

Tariff Update: Incorporating Recent Decisions and Deals

Article

Dashboard oil pressure gauge has a scale showing spelling out "inflation" and a needle pointing at the danger red zone.

May 2025, No. 25-20

Felipe F. Schwartzman

The Rabbit-Duck Question: What Caused the Recent Inflation Surge?

Article

Container ship approaching a port attached to a city with large buildings.

April 2025, No. 25-17

Juanma Castro-Vincenzi, Simon Farbman, Gaurav Khanna, Nicolas Morales and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

Can Trade Help Mitigate Risk From Weather Disruptions?

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Regional and Urban Economics

Article

Moving van full of boxes and furniture in front of a house.

May 2025, No. 25-19

John Bailey Jones, Yue Li and Urvi Neelakantan

Why Is Geographic Mobility Declining?

Article

Illustration of sold houses on a gradually increasing bar chart.

March 2025, No. 25-11

Forecasting House Price Growth Using Months Supply of Housing

Article

Small model house sitting and coins sitting on top of paper with charts.

January 2025, No. 25-04

Marios Karabarbounis and John O'Trakoun

How Is Housing Handled in the National Income and Product Accounts?

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Banking and Finance

Article

Wall of crisp one-dollar bills.

May 2025, No. 25-18

Russell Wong and Mengbo Zhang

How Concentrated Is the Distribution of Banks' Reserve Balances?

Article

An old-fashioned bank sign on the exterior of a building.

February 2025, No. 25-06

Lindsay Li and Nicholas Trachter

How Do Banks Choose Where to Place Branches?

Article

Person scanning phone to pay for stuff

January 2025, No. 25-03

Buy Now, Pay Later: Market Impact and Policy Considerations

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