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Purple and blue abstract financial graph with layered trend lines and columns.

The natural rate of interest, also called r-star, is a key concept for understanding and interpreting macroeconomic relationships and the effects of monetary policy. The Richmond Fed produces the Lubik-Matthes Natural Rate of Interest estimate quarterly.

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Podcast
Nov. 20, 2024

For our 150th episode, Anna Kovner reviews her career path to becoming the research director at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and reflects on the work of the Bank's Research department. Kovner also offers her views on various topics — including the banking turmoil of 2023, the Fed's "lender of last resort" role, current risks to the financial system, and the "neutral rate" of interest — as well as the current state of the national economy.

Speech
June 28, 2024

President Tom Barkin explores why it has been particularly challenging to predict the path of the economy over the last few years.

Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond