Research Publications
Tim Sablik
Tim Sablik is a senior economic writer in the Research Department. He writes for Econ Focus magazine, the Economic Brief series and other publications. He also hosts the Richmond Fed’s podcast, “Speaking of the Economy.” His research interests include monetary policy, payments, the macroeconomy and regional economies.
Before joining the staff in 2011, Sablik served as a copy editor for SNL Financial. He holds a bachelor’s degree in communications and history from Loyola University in Maryland and a master’s degree in economics from Virginia Commonwealth University.
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Bank Publications
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2024
Philanthropic giving can make a big difference in small towns, if both sides can find each other.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2024To support women working on the homefront in World War II, the U.S. government funded a temporary nationwide child care program.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2024The Fed moved quickly to support the financial system during a banking panic last spring. Now, policymakers are evaluating what they learned.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First/Second Quarter 2024Over the course of the 20th century, tipping went from rare and reviled to an almost uniquely American custom. We still like to complain about it.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First/Second Quarter 2024Some rural and small-town communities see potential for outdoor recreation to reinvigorate their economies.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2023While price-setting is challenging even in normal times, shocks during the past few years, such as the pandemic and inflation, have made it harder.
David A. Price, Tim Sablik and Matthew Wells
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2023Rental housing has become less affordable across the country, but rural markets face additional difficulties.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2023In July, the Fed launched its first new payment service in more than 40 years.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2023Since becoming President of the Richmond Fed in 2018, Tom Barkin has made spending time throughout the Fifth District his goal. One of the ways the Richmond Fed's research department supports this goal is through an event series known as Community Conversations.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2023The persistence of hybrid work has left many wondering about the future of offices. With workers coming in less often, some companies have decided that they need less space.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2023The COVID-19 pandemic dramatically reduced transit ridership across the country. Operators across the Fifth District are still figuring out how to adapt.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, January 2023, No. 23-02Among the topics discussed were income growth volatility, AI's impact on productivity and how housing price changes affect young businesses.
Tim Sablik and Matthew Wells
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2022Talking about the future has become a valuable tool of monetary policy, but recent events have prompted a reevaluation.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, October 2022, No. 22-42Tariffs, property rights and producing inputs versus buying them: These were among the topics discussed at our recent conference.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2022While the Fed has experience buying assets to respond to crises, questions remain around unwinding those actions
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2022The Appalachian Regional Commission, created in the 1960s, became a model for regional economic development programs.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2022The dollar has been the global currency of choice for nearly a century, but in light of recent U.S.-led financial sanctions, some wonder whether that status will endure.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2022Entrepreneurship creates many local benefits, but starting a new business in rural places can be challenging
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2022The pandemic has worsened a long-standing national shortage of nurses. Rural communities face the greatest challenges.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, January 2022, No. 22-02Is money essential? How do self-interested parties bargain to achieve mutually beneficial outcomes? These were among questions addressed at a recent research conference.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2021A surge of interest in starting new businesses could reverse a long-running drought.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2021For policymakers and market participants, inflation can be challenging to predict.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, September 2021, No. 21-32Prepping for medical expenses is more important for singles, while leaving bequests is more important for couples.
Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, John Bailey Jones, Rory McGee and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second/Third Quarter 2021Not everyone experiences the same inflation. What does that mean for monetary policy?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second/Third Quarter 2021New technology is changing where and how some crops are grown.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, May 2021, No. 21-17Facebook and Amazon are examining creating digital currencies, like Alibaba has. What drives platforms to develop these currencies, and should central banks be worried?
Jonathan Chiu, Tim Sablik and Russell Wong
Economic Brief, May 2021, No. 21-14Does gender diversity improve team performance? How should vaccines be allocated to combat a pandemic? How do employers affect how immigration impacts native workers? These were among the questions discussed by researchers during a recent virtual research workshop.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2021COVID-19 transformed how we work and socialize, which could put the future of cities on a new path
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2021With a revised strategy, the Fed responds to challenges facing central banks today
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2020The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the supply of many items, including cold hard cash
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2020If the coin disruption of 2020 prompts the United States to reconsider the future of physical cash, the first thing on the chopping block could be the humble penny.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second/Third Quarter 2020The Fed is using emergency lending powers it invoked during the Great Recession to respond to COVID-19 — but it cast a wider net this time.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second/Third Quarter 2020Digital connections have become more important in a time of social distancing, but rural broadband access still lags behind cities.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, June 2020, No. 20-07Researchers and policymakers are wondering whether the economic losses associated with the COVID-19 pandemic will prove temporary or persistent. Examining the housing crisis of 2006—09 may provide some clues.
Felipe F. Schwartzman and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2020During the Great Depression, communities banded together to bring electricity to America's farmland.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2020Some schools are offering to buy a share of students' future income in exchange for funding their education.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2023Tim Sablik
Regional Matters, April 30, 2020What does hospital capacity look like in the Fifth District, and how might rural hospital closings impact the current crisis?
Surekha Carpenter and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2019There is enough research to suggest that sentiment does play a role in shaping the business cycle. The question facing policymakers is what to do about it.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2020Researchers and community development experts moved quickly to understand how COVID-19 affected Fifth District communities.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, January 2020, No. 20-01What caused the housing boom and bust of the early 2000s?
Daisuke Ikeda, Toan Phan and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second/Third Quarter 2019Kevin Bryan of the University of Toronto investigated which new economists rise to the top of the entry-level job market. In other words, what makes a young economist a star?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second/Third Quarter 2019Some economists and policymakers have argued for increasing public spending. What might that mean for inflation and monetary policy?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2019The technology behind cryptocurrencies shows promise for raising capital but has also drawn scrutiny from regulators.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2019Fed policy has effects outside U.S. borders, but what can monetary policymakers here and abroad do about it?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2019Economists at the Richmond Fed study diverging trends in national and local market concentration
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, July 2019, No. 19-07Aspen Gorry, Devon Gorry, Tim Sablik and Nicholas Trachter
Economic Brief, June 2019, No. 19-06National markets in many U.S. industries seem to be increasingly dominated by large companies. Some policymakers have argued that this growing market concentration is a sign of weakening competition, but concentration by itself does not necessarily translate into market power.
Tim Sablik and Nicholas Trachter
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2018Has the natural rate of interest lost its luster as a navigation aid for monetary policy?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2018The fracking boom might have led workers to forego educational opportunities.
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, February 2019, No. 19-02Huberto M. Ennis and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2018What happens when countries can't or won't repay
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2018Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2018Despite new technologies for electronic payments, cash has never been more popular. What's driving the demand?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2018How are recent moves affecting businesses in the Fifth District?
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, August 2018, No. 18-08Riccardo Colacito, Toan Phan and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2018Policy Update
Selena Carr and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2018What motivates entrepreneurs to run a business? Some small-business owners like the Jones family are motivated by values rather than financial gain.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2018Are markets too concentrated?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2017Can payments be made to work faster, safer, and more efficiently?
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, January 2018, No. 18-01Santiago Pinto and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2017Recent high-profile hacks have renewed calls for improved security, but competing incentives pose a challenge
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2017Book Review
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, October 2017, No. 17-10Trade imbalances are a perennial concern for policymakers and the public. But what does it mean for a country to have a trade surplus or deficit?
Thomas A. Lubik and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2017Although very uncommon now, the Fed used to intervene regularly in foreign exchange markets
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2017Jargon Alert
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, July 2017, No. 17-07Santiago Pinto and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2017Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2017A financial crisis in Mexico in the mid-1990s sparked a debate about the Fed's role in international markets and its independence
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third/Fourth Quarter 2016Jargon Alert
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third/Fourth Quarter 2016Many worry that the Great Recession and mounting student debt have stunted millennials' financial development
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, March 2017, No. 17-03Regis Barnichon, Christian Matthes and Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, November 2016, No. 16-11Thomas A. Lubik, Christian Matthes and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2016Online nonbank lenders have experienced tremendous growth. What promises, and perils, do they hold for the financial system?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2016Winston-Salem is transforming its economy from tobacco to medical research
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2015Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2015The financial crisis of 2007-2008 was just the latest chapter in a long debate over how to minimize the risk of bank runs and other liquidity crunches
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2015From hurricanes to asteroids, how should we determine what steps to take to avert catastrophe?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2016Virtually no new banks have opened since the Great Recession began. What's behind this drought, and should we be worried?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2016Multiple central banks have dipped policy rates to negative levels — and uncharted waters
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2016Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2015Policy Update
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2015Trading with Cuba
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2015Jargon Alert
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, January 2016, No. 16-01Mark House, Tim Sablik and John R. Walter
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2015Policy Update
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2015The public perils of private debt
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2015Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2015The Secession Question
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2015The Profession
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2014Are new online markets creating economic value or threatening consumer safety?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2014Policy Update
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Fourth Quarter 2014The Profession
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, March 2015, No. 15-03The rate of new-bank formation has fallen from an average of about 100 per year since 1990 to an average of about three per year since 2010. If this change persists, it will have a large impact on the composition of the banking sector as well as the flow of credit in the economy.
Roisin McCord, Edward S. Prescott and Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2014The Richmond Fed has a long tradition of concern for price stability
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2014Does the hawk-dove distinction still matter in the modern Fed?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2014The posts here aim to analyze local, regional, and national data to gain a better understanding of the Fifth District.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Third Quarter 2014Policy Update
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2014Policy Update
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2014Longer unemployment benefits often mean longer unemployment spells, but economists say that's not always a bad thing
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, Second Quarter 2014While more is not always merrier, population growth over the last century has had many positive effects
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, October 2014, No. 14-10Are investors ignoring financial advice to their detriment? Research by a number of economists suggests otherwise. Using more detailed lifecycle models, they find that young investors may be considering a number of risk factors not captured by simple investment rules of thumb.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2014How much does the Fed's success depend on who's at the helm?
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2014Policy Update
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2014Are we losing the fight against next-gen bank robbers? The Fed's study found that payment cards were used in 92 percent of fraudulent transactions, with checks and electronic check transfers making up the remainder.
Tim Sablik
Econ Focus, First Quarter 2014Upfront
Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, June 2014, No. 14-06Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, Fabian Lange and Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, January 2014, No. 14-01In response to the financial crisis and recession of 2007-09, the federal government enacted a number of emergency fiscal policies intended to aid recovery. However, the unconventional and transitory nature of these fiscal policies may have contributed to greater economic uncertainty.
Christian Matthes and Tim Sablik
Economic Brief, October 2013, No. 13-10Many merchants have complained that the fees far exceed issuers' costs for processing such transactions. In response to those complaints, Congress directed the Federal Reserve to impose a cap on debit card interchange fees.
Tim Sablik and Zhu Wang
Economic Brief, March 2013, No. 13-03Tim Sablik