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Macro Minute

August 27, 2024

Could July's slump in housing starts be attributed to severe weather, such as Hurricane Beryl that made landfall on July 8? Data suggests the national impact may be small.

August 20, 2024

In this week's post, we look at some of the survey evidence that consumers are starting to pull back on spending.

August 13, 2024

When considering the outlook for future housing services prices, examining the ratio against home prices and new tenant rents might indicate what's to come. What might the data be telling us?

August 6, 2024

With a newly developed index of payroll growth dispersion, the author shows how it differs from the BLS payroll diffusion index and discusses some implications from July's employment report.

July 16, 2024

With sentiment about the labor market appearing to soften, we explore some ways to visualize the breadth of recent jobs growth across industries.

July 2, 2024

This post looks into the components of private fixed investment and discusses what recent monthly data could be telling us for the outlook of this piece of GDP.

June 25, 2024

Would Fed rate cuts improve the outlook for homebuyers? This post examines the potential connection between policy rates and housing affordability.

June 18, 2024

The stock market is way up, and households know it. A consumption-supporting wealth effect, an overvalued stock market, and expecting strong future output growth are three possible causes.

May 21, 2024

An increase in multifamily housing supply could be contributing to a softening in rents, but historical patterns suggest an upward pressure on rent growth could be in store.

May 14, 2024

Are price increases being experienced across many categories, or is inflation mostly driven by a few stubborn categories? The PCE price index seems to suggest pricing pressure remains broad.

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