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Economic Brief

October 2025, No. 25-37

Trying to identify single causes of individual business cycles is fraught with misattribution problems.

Liyu Dou, Paul Ho and Thomas A. Lubik

September 2025, No. 25-36

Federal employees make up 1.8 percent of the U.S. workforce, but they tend to be concentrated in specific regions.

September 2025, No. 25-35

Eliminating exclusive buyer representation contracts could have several positive effects in the real estate industry.

September 2025, No. 25-34

The third annual Marvin Goodfriend lecture, given by Richard Rogerson, covered cross-country sectoral productivity differences.

August 2025, No. 25-33

How do shocks to the banking system affect nonbank mortgage companies through warehouse lines of credit?

Daniel te Kaat, Alessandro Rebucci, Horacio Sapriza and Alex Sclip

August 2025, No. 25-32

The Fed's "maximum employment" mandate isn't directly measurable, so how can we tell if the economy is close?

August 2025, No. 25-31

How does the rise in land-use regulation play into the decline in construction sector productivity?

August 2025, No. 25-30

How might labor productivity and total factor productivity fare over the rest of the decade?

August 2025, No. 25-29

The predicted average effective tariff rate for May was 17.5 percent, but the actual rate turned out to be 8.7 percent.

July 2025, No. 25-28

Local multipliers mean changes in government spending can have amplified effects on local economies.

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